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My AI Predictions for 2027

A conservative vision for AI alignment

How Does a Blind Model See the Earth?

So you think you've awoken ChatGPT

Field Notes on Shipping with Claude Code

The Hamming Question

Some arguments against a land value tax (2024)

A deep critique of AI 2027's bad timeline models

X explains Z% of the variance in Y

Corporations as Paperclip Maximizers

A Straightforward Explanation of the Good Regulator Theorem

The Cost of Our Lies to AI

British naval dominance during the age of sail

Methods of defence against AGI manipulation

Language equivariance as a way of figuring out what an AI "means"

Navigating Burnout

Playing in the Creek

How to Make Superbabies

A slow guide to confronting doom

Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bullshit

Tied Crosscoders: Tracing How Chat LLM Behavior Emerges from Base Model

Apparent signs of distress during LLM redteaming

A bear case: My predictions regarding AI progress

How much are LLMs boosting real-world programmer productivity?

Metacompilation. Making compilation more self referential.

Claude is More Anxious than GPT

Alignment faking in large language models

FrontierMath was funded by OpenAI

Some Lessons from the OpenAI FrontierMath Debacle

Human study on AI spear phishing campaigns

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