The Commissar for Traffic Presents the Latest Five-Year Plan

ML is not that good at predicting consumers' choices

I Disagree with Alan Turing and Daniel Kahneman (2014)

High-Intensity Exercise

The piranha problem in social psychology / behavioral economics (2017)

Why I’m Skeptical of “Steelmanning”

The examples in the textbooks are not representative of real world problems

An accidental experiment that saved 700 lives

The spread of misinformation: A pattern we see over and over

Open AI gets GPT-3 to work by hiring an army of humans to fix GPT’s bad answers

Auto Accidents and “Isolation and Disruption”

The claimed effect size is about a zillion times higher than is plausible

Hierarchical Model of Golf Putting

How many African American patents were there in the Golden Age of Innovation?

Chatbots: Still Dumb After All These Years

Noted study in psychology fails to replicate, crumbles with evidence of fraud

Climate Change as a Biological Accelerator

“Using Benford’s Law to Detect Bitcoin Manipulation”

If you think Psychological Science is bad, imagine how bad it was in 1999

“AI-promised-to-revolutionize-radiology-but-so-far-its-failing”

Feeling like a pariah (even when you’re not)

Thinking fast, slow, and not at all

Causal Inference: The Mixtape

EU proposing to regulate the use of Bayesian estimation

Is Explainability the New Uncertainty?

What are the most important statistical ideas of the past 50 years?

Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibration

Who are the culture heroes of today?

“A Headline That Will Make Global-Warming Activists Apoplectic”

Reflections on a Talk Gone Wrong

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