Slides on large language models for statisticians

Point Estimation of Covariance Matrices in Hierarchical Models (2015) [pdf]

Additional recommendations for designing experiments to learn about the world [pdf]

Should we take measurements at an intermediate design point? [pdf]

When can you know the Type I error rate for your analysis

Using predictions from arbitrary models to get tighter confidence intervals

Analog computing and hybrid computing: The view from 1962

ChatGPT4 writes Stan code so I don’t have to

Example of the general issue of the importance of measurement in statistics

They say that stocks go down during the day and up at night

The Undying Holiday-Suicide Myth

Scale transform -50 x*x + 240 x – 7

How to model a non-monotonic relation?

Bayesian statistics and machine learning: How do they differ?

Fields where it matters, fields where you can thrive on BS alone, and in between

Should this paper in Psychological Science be retracted?

Do Simpler Machine Learning Models Exist and How Can We Find Them?

A Paradox of Robust Bayesian Inference and Belief Functions [pdf] (2005)

Every modeler is supposed to be a great Python programmer

A homework question in someone’s 11th grade statistics class

Not Frequentist Enough

Chief scientist of major corporation can’t handle criticism of the work he hypes

How did NPR’s pre-election poll get things so so so wrong?

Only positive reinforcement for researchers in some fields

Which one of these will be the biggest “unicorn” failure ever?

Update on the fake story about the river laborers paying people to whip them

The garden of forking paths: Why multiple comparisons can be a problem

Not Frequentist Enough

What’s the difference between Derek Jeter and preregistration?

“Is there a heuristic we might use to identify and flag questionable papers?”

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