The likelihood principle in model check and model evaluation

The rise of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in international development

Don’t kid yourself. The polls messed up

A new hot hand paradox

Andrew Gell-Mann finds issues with the FiveThirtyEight model

Body Language and Machine Learning

The view that the scientific process is “red tape"

Coding and drawing

Average Power: A Cautionary Note

Sketching Realistic Graphs (2005)